The Lagos State Government has issued an early warning that the state will experience above-normal rainfall amounts in the first peak of the 2025 rainy season, with a delayed cessation extending into December.
Mr. Tokunbo Wahab, Commissioner for the Environment and Water Resources for Lagos state emphasized the importance of the annual forecast in preparing the public for the impacts of the rainy season.
Residents have been alerted to expect above-normal rainfall in the first peak of the 2025 rainy season, while normal rainfall amounts are projected for the second peak.
The forecast indicates a longer-than-usual rainy season, beginning in late March and ending in early December.
The rainy season is expected to start as early as the last week of March, while the end of the season is expected in the first week of December.
With annual rainfall average is predicted at 1,936mm, which is greater than the long-term 1991–2020 average.
According to him, the forecast is based on the neutral phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which will persist for the first six to eight months of the year.
He explained that “Lagos State, alongside neighboring Ogun State, will see an increase in rainfall, with Ikeja, Badagry, Ikorodu, Lagos Island, and Epe all experiencing above-normal precipitation levels.
Risk of Flash Floods, Strong Winds
We are warned of possible flash floods, especially in low-lying areas, and strong winds at the beginning and end of the rainy season, which could pose as risks to lives, properties, and economic activities.
Strong winds are also expected during the onset and end of the season, which could disrupt commercial activities, cause flight delays, and lead to revenue losses.
“The ministry is collaborating with NiMet in the annual Seasonal Climate Prediction, which has been a vital tool for farmers, planners, decision-makers, and businesses that could be affected by the rainy season,” he said.
We have been warned, stay alert, follow official weather updates, and take necessary precautions to safeguard lives and properties as we prepare for an intense rainy season.